"Evolutionary speed" - interesting. Laypeople like me have a distorted view of that, perhaps, thanks to stuff like the time-lapse evolutionary sequence shown on Cosmos. That sequence makes it seem like evolution progresses smoothly, at a constant speed, from one level of complexity to the next, from one life form to the next.
Do note I am no expert on this field either and that the way I phrased this argument is probably also pseudoscience. But we are talking about huge time scales. Humans live for about 80 years. So we can never imagine more time that a lifetime. For us a thousand years is just as much time as a billion years, but only with 6 more zeros.
How evolution processes exactly is hard to tell and I am not really into which theory inside Darwinism is the most popular or sound. But there is the Punctuated Equilibrium theory:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punctuated_EquilibriumThe fossil record is very much snap-shot like. There may have been a smooth evolution and a few snapshots of this in the fossil record. Then these two creatures become two species. And then we have a 'missing link' between the two. Of course that would be natural since fossils just are so rare.
It seems that evolutionary biologist are genuinely still consirned about this thus the Punctuated Equilibrium theory.
There are also different issues. About 99% of the species have died out. A large part of the all life todat is just as simple as almost all life a billion years ago. Mammals and birds, probably our most advanced life forms, only make up a small part of all life. Most life is still single cell life.
We know tat 65 million years ago most life forms we would consider as 'complex' today died out. This may happen again some day.
So evolution is higly erratic.
And about science itself. Science doesn't deal with universal or absolute truth. Science wants to create models that match and describe reality. Sometimes the argument is made that Lucifer changed reality so it appears the have evolved to trick man and lead them away from God. If this is the case and if this would be proven then everyone would still use the theory of evolution, since it explains reality. The theory of evolution explains reality. Creationism doesn't.
Ok, see if either of these is better. Source: an old-earth creationist site. These guys don't believe in evolution.
https://www.reasons.org/resources/apologetics/design.shtml
Design and the Anthropic Principle
article quote:
"The bottom line is that the universe is at least ten billion orders of magnitude (a factor of 10^10,000,000,000 times) too small or too young for life to have assembled itself by natural processes.i These kinds of calculations have been done by researchers, both non-theists and theists, in a variety of disciplines.43-58"
This is largely not about the likelyhood of evolution. First it talks about the universal constants. I already mentioned this.
If one would pick a random set of values the universe would never be of the organised nature of this one. Atoms wouldn't even form. There would probably be one big mess of sub-atomic particles and energy, just as 'seen' right after the big bang. Many other combinations would be possible that would allow stars to form and burn theis mass into energy and planets to form. But that wouldn't allow life or any form of complex biochemical molecules. This is also explained in the first part of the article.
What does this tell us? We don't know what makes the universal constants, what is at the basis of it. String theory was mentioned in another topic. One could postulate that strings only allow a small set of possible universal constants or combinations, rather than any real number.
But even if our galaxy is one out of a trillion or one out of a googol? First of, it has nothing to do with evolution, with mutations and natural selections, with DNA. But it is interesting.
Maybe a googol universes do exist.
Maybe it is just pure chance. Why not. The whole existence of a universe at all is bizarre.
The problem with God is that it doesn't explain anything. You could explain the unlikelyhood by saying God made sure the universe would result in this. But how does one explain God? For christians, God doesn't require explenation. But scientists do.
It would be taking the problen and 'solving' it by labeling it with 'God'. If God actually created this universe scientists want to know how just as much as now. And after that they want to know where God comes from. Actually scientists don't even care if you can label something with 'God' or not. They want to know what happened and how. Not why.
For me in both cases the huge problem remains. I don't get why there has to be an universe. Why not nothing? I must admit that the thought about this is a bit more strange that the same thought for a monotheist. They reach God and can stop thinking. I can't. Is the whole universe one big accident? Just a small fluctuation in total nothingness that will eventually resolve itself?
With this huge mystery, I find it kind of strange to assume God must have created it, otherwise it would be extremely unlikely. Even more stranger because the concept of God originates from the bible.
When we reach part two, about the conditions on earth. I don't know much about meteorology and geology. But the climate on earth was just the way it was and there are no signs of God adjusting the climate. The same goes for the universe. There is absolutely no sign someone is 'at the controls', adjusting things to make sure everything works out right. It just unfolds perfectly. So this has nothing to do with evolution itself.
So again we are talking about a fine balance. But the balance was just there and there are no signs of adjustments. We would expect that if we pollute the earth too much, God won't intervene and rebalance our environment.
So both the universe and the earth have a fine balance. But there is no sign that someone has been balancing it out on purpose. It either arised accidentally, or God planned very very well ahead and all his calculations were on the mark, as far as earth is concerned.
While life on earth absolutely has no sign of design at all, you could make a case for the universe being designed. Let's assume God designed the universe and that he meant earth to be one of the planets with life. Why did he design the rest of the universe the way it is? We know he designed earth and did an incredible accurate calculation. All the rest of the universe should have been though out in great detail also. Every little particulatity in the universe should be an important part of the 'master design'.
Do you actually see this? What had God in mind? If he felt lonely, why didn't he just create one sun with one planet? This makes no scientific sense, so be it wrong or right, at this time it is not part of science, since it isn't really a part of a model describing reality. God is irrelevant because she is just looking at her creation unfold.
I have no idea how accurate the numbers about the conditions on earth actually are. But since they mention the Drake Equation, the numbers people used in that equation where of such a big range the result had a range so big any outsome was concivable. I suspect the same for this calculation. They just adjusted the range in a way that favored them a little, then after the calculation the little adjustment just dictated the outcome. Just as with the less complex Drake Equation. There are still scientists who think life will be common throughout the universe, ones that think it will be very rare and also many just admit they haven't a clue. And this is the answer. We don't know how special the conditions on earth are or how special life in general is.
I don't really like the 'man created the universe' hypothesis. And of course it is also pure speculation. The article accurately mentions there is no evidence for this. But so is there no evidence supporting God as a creator or any creator. And even if the universe looks created, noting that it actually looks highly unlikely, it doesn't mean it is.
So we have a big gap, a gap where christians can put their God. Fine with me.
The article goes on about this:
What should one make of this quartet of WAP, SAP, PAP, and FAP? In my not so humble opinion I think the last principle is best called CRAP, the Completely Ridiculous Anthropic Principle.41
In their persistent rejection of an eternal transcendent Creator, cosmologists seem to be resorting to more and more absurd alternatives. An exhortation from the Bible is appropriate, "See to it that no one takes you captive through hollow and deceptive philosophy."42
I agree with the first part. I had actually never heard before about Anthropic Principles, they don't seem to be very popular within the astrophysicist community. It seems they are pure philosophy, metaphysics, or even theology.
While all of them may be CRAP, I don't see how this validates an 'eternal transcendent Creator'. Again, God doesn't explain things because it doesn't require anything. So God doesn't solve the problem. How did God come to exist?
About the size of the universe. The article is incorrect here. We have absolutely no clue how big the universe is. We only know how large the observeble universe is since we do know its age: 13,6 billion years. Information from more than 13,6 light years away hasn't reached us yet because of the age. So we don't know how big the universe actually is. It might be milions times bigger than the observable universe. In science 'universe' and 'observable universe' are sometimes used as synomiems because they are scientificly almost the same. If we can't observe it we can't do science.
The bottom line is that the universe is at least ten billion orders of magnitude too small or too young for life to have assembled itself by natural processes.
This is a strange statement. First the article explains that the universe is very strange because it allows life to occur naturally while this requires a really special and rare type of universe. And then the article explains that it couldn't have happened naturally. We know everything just seemed to have happened naturally. No adjustments have been made. It all may be very unlikely, but it did happen. We don't know why but we don't see any adjustments either. It may be God has thought all this out and then watched it all happen. But this is pure speculation plus this is not what tha article claims.
Seems to me the article had two writers. One explaining some science and another drawing strange conclusions from them.
https://www.reasons.org/resources/apologetics/design_evidences/200404_probabilities_for_life_on_earth.shtml
Probability For Life On Earth
Again this is not about evolution. This time we deal with abiogenesis exclusively. I didn't consider abiogenesis in my previous posts because we haven't a clue and because the discussion was about evolution. Again these numbers used are very raw estimates and produce useless results.
I assume you mean young-earth creationism?
No. Creationism in general. Life on earth doesn't look designed, period. All mammals have backpains because of their 'stupid' spine, which is quite a good idea for a sea creature. The list goes on. I am not talking about directed evolution, but normal creationism just contradicts reality. The life forms on earth are just too inefficient, redundantly and stupidly put together to be designed. Or God/Lucifer designed life to look evolved, if you want to believe that.
It has been asserted that the Big Bang alone is proof of ID, or at least of an extra-universal Originator.
You are confusing things. There is no real Intelligent Design theory I can use but the Big Bang theory is about how the universe originated from a singularity 13.7 billion years ago that expanded to that what it is now. This is just what we observe. We don't know how or why it happened.
Intelligent Design is very unclear. But the point is that there is an intelligent designer in the total sum somewhere. I am not sure where I should put her to be able to give a clear example. I always throught it was about directed evolution, that God has some hand in creating mutations and seleting genes. But it also seems to be about the universe itself.
It seems that whereever there is a hole in a theory we put God:
We live in this very special universe with these very rare combinations of universal constants that make life possible. We don't know how or why so God did it.
We had a big bang 13,7 years ago. But we don't understand why a big bang could happen from nothing. God did it.
We don't know the abiogenesis/origin of life, through we know that after it appeared it evolved to what we see now. So God did it.
Then single cell life started to evolve and then multicellular life appeared. We don't understand how or why. God did it.
Then humans evolved. But we think they are very special, and it all happened very quick. Isn't that curious? And we don't know how and why. God did it.