Last year, I did a statistics post at 34 entries. I figured I may as well do that again here (I also posted this on Challonge, under the "Announcements" tab).
Most likely to advance in round 1: Petrushka (90.63%), Wilde Jagd, Le Preux (both 87.50%)
The number of "#1 La Campanella fan" brackets is way less than last year; only 2 brackets have it winning (tied for second most), 3 have it in the finals (tied for fourth most), and 7 place it in the semifinals (tied for third most). It's absolutely higher than it should be (3rd highest ranked piece overall), but it's not as extreme as it was last year.
S. 140 no. 4b is currently the highest-ranked piece, followed by Grand Galop Chromatique, La Campanella, and then a tie between Petrushka and Rondeau Fantastique. Scriabin 42/5 and Prokofiev's Toccata are the lowest-ranked pieces, with not a single bracket thus far having picked the latter to make it to the Round of 16.
S. 140 no. 4b is also in the top three for nearly all categories; a tougher round 1 matchup against Scriabin's 5th Sonata keeps it from ranking high in that category.
In terms of championship picks, S. 140 no. 4b leads the way with 3 brackets expecting it to win it all. In joint second-place (2 brackets), we have S. 140 no. 3 "La Campanella", The Firebird, Grand Galop Chromatique, La Clochette, and Rondeau Fantastique "El Contrabandista". Another 19 pieces all have one bracket picking them to be the champion.
There is exactly one bracket with Scarlatti - K. 141 making it past the second round, and that bracket (titled "ABAP (As Bad As Possible)") also has it winning the whole tournament.
Comme le Vent, Wilde Jagd, The Firebird, Grand Galop Chromatique, Lavapiés, Saint-Saens' Toccata, Feux Follets, Le Preux, Petrushka, Spanish Rhapsody, Rondeau Fantastique, and S. 140 no. 4b are all above average in every category. Mark them as favorites!
La Campanella, Hammerklavier mvt. 4, Czerny's Op. 268 mvt. 4, Alkan's Allegro Barbaro, Scriabin's 8th Sonata, Le Festin d'Ésope, Paganini Variation (Book I), and Alkan's Concerto (mvt. 3) all never dip below average, but have a(t least one) rougher category. They're the current dark horses.
The Firebird, Le Preux, Petrushka, S. 140 no. 4b, and to a lesser extent Grand Galop Chromatique and Spanish Rhapsody are all shaping up to do particularly well -- between all six of them, not one places below 12th in any category, and are all in the top ten highest-ranked pieces overall (Le Preux is lowest, at 10th). Petrushka, Spanish Rhapsody, Grand Galop Chromatique, and S. 140 no. 4b all rank first in at least one category. Expect deep tournament runs from all of these pieces.
Those are the things I found most noteworthy. If there's anything else you want to know, reply to this post!
